Christie 2012: What stands in his way
By: Jonathan Martin and Maggie Haberman
September 30, 2011 04:40 AM
Let’s say Chris Christie decides to run for for president — then what?
It’s a question that has occurred to Christie and his circle of
intimates — and they’ve begun sketching a plan in case the governor goes
forward with a run.
They understand that all the enthusiasm and pleading in some Republican
quarters for a Christie candidacy obscures the fact that the New Jersey
governor would immediately have to scale the side of a steep and
unforgiving political mountain.
With the initial primary and caucus states poised to move up their
contests to January, an October announcement means that Christie would
immediately confront two questions of some urgency: where would he
compete and how would he get on the ballot in an array of states coming
in rapid succession.
Those decisions have to be made and action needs to be taken while also handling myriad other demands — all of it on the fly.
While Christie’s camp is staying mum, the governor is aware, according
to top Republicans and donors, that the hour is growing late. He has to
decide what to do within the week — and below are the issues he’d have
to address.
Organization
Christie has a tight-knit group of advisers, but it isn’t quite like the turnkey operation Rick Perry
had in place. Because while Perry was mulling, at least for public
consumption, whether to run all summer, his top aides were building an
operation in the early states.
So, in the midst of launching a campaign, Christie would have to
simultaneously create both a national infrastructure and state-by-state
organization. The good news is that there are still Republicans left to
staff such an effort — one well-connected Iowa strategist was emailing
Christie associates as recently as this week offering to help.
The governor has aides with presidential experience — both his
communications director Maria Comella and top political adviser Mike
DuHaime were on Rudy Giuliani’s campaign — and there are consultants in
the wings who are available to step in and handle media, polling and
mail. DuHaime “knows everyone in his business,” said one GOP strategist,
noting his time at the Republican National Committee under Ken Mehlman
prior to the 2008 race.
The challenge for Christie, though, isn’t necessarily putting together a
strategy team. It’s throwing together, in mid-stride, an organization
that could handle all the mundane but crucial tasks of a presidential
campaign.
Take ballot access for example. The rules vary in every state. Mitt Romney’s campaign offered a pointed reminder
to Christie on Thursday about how arduous this task can be, issuing a
press release noting that they had qualified for the Vermont primary
ballot. That requires, in addition to a filing fee, getting the
signatures of 1,000 registered voters.
In other states, essential deadlines are fast approaching. Candidates
have to file in Florida by the end of October and then the day after in
South Carolina. By Dec. 5, 3,000 signatures from registered Illinois
voters are due in Springfield to appear on the GOP primary ballot next
year.
Next question: How ready is Christie’s
team for the attacks his rivals will inevitably launch? Top-tier
campaigns put together oppo books on themselves — and their rivals.
While Team Christie has material from his 2009 campaign, his record as
governor would get a major vetting from the national press.
“Who answers the phones, who creates a website, who gets you on the
ballot — it’s all those little things that even when you have months and
months to ramp up that can be complicated,” said a GOP veteran of past
presidential campaigns who thinks Christie could yet pull it off. “Even
if the candidate is ready, there are logistical issues that need to
catch up with him. And you don’t have a month and a half to get it
right.”
One top Republican argued the ramp-up wouldn’t be the daunting task some
make it to be, adding that Christie’s team is aware of the specific
pitfalls — having encountered them up close with Giuliani — and is going
to do what it can to avoid them. One issue that’s unavoidable: he’ll
have to expand beyond some of the consultants he’s worked with in the
past, such as on media and mail, since a few are tied up with other
presidential campaigns now.
Strategy
In addition to putting together a team to handle the incoming demands
and flak from the press, donors, activists, elected officials and
opponents, the calendar would also force Christie to immediately decide
on his strategic path.
Namely, where would he compete?
Christie has been received warmly in Iowa on past visits — GOP Gov.
Terry Branstad said he hadn’t been so inspired by a speech since Ronald
Reagan — but the caucuses demand a candidate have a 99-county
organization and are heavy on cultural conservatives. No Eastern
Republican has ever won there.
New Hampshire, with its Northeastern, fiscally focused sensibility, could offer Christie a better launching pad.
The questions only multiply after that: Could Christie ramp up in time
to contest the Nevada caucuses, where Mitt Romney is expected to be
strong? Would a blustery Northeasterner have any appeal in South
Carolina, where Perry is locking up support? Or could Christie find
success in the fashion his friend Giuliani originally envisioned — using
a New Hampshire victory as a springboard into Florida? (Recall that the
former New York mayor didn’t pull out of New Hampshire until
mid-December).
In any case, Christie has, at least at the outset, “a window in every
early state,” said a Republican strategist who asked not to be
identified. He’s been wooed by a cadre of Iowa donors and, unlike
Giuliani in 2007, wouldn’t have to modulate on issues like gay marriage
and abortion (he’s against both). Most encouraging, several strategists
indicated, are the large numbers of voters who remain undecided in each
early state.
What he lacks, another strategist said,
is a state where he begins with a natural edge — like New Hampshire for
Romney and South Carolina for Perry — in the first round of voting. But
that likely means he would play a bit in each state before narrowing
down his field — South Carolina seems like a candidate to disappear,
barring a total Perry collapse.
As far as national media, he’s developed relationships during his time
in office that would serve him well — not the least of which is with
Roger Ailes of Fox News, and his boss, Rupert Murdoch.
Christie has focused heavily on the economy, and his Reagan Presidential
Library address this week on “Real American Exceptionalism” was widely
seen as a road map for a stump message. He would likely jump in quickly
with policy formulas, which would fill the void created by the rest of
the field — struggling front-runner Rick Perry has made no policy
addresses so far — and would prevent others from defining him first.
Another area of strength: Christie has tended to thrive in town hall-style formats, which are key in early states.
Policy and Schedule
Christie’s rapid rise can be traced to his confrontational style and the
battles he’s waged over his state’s budget, but he’d need a crash
course on foreign policy and issues he’s had little experience with in
being governor for a year and a half. That’s difficult enough for any
state politician, but Christie would have not months but days to get
conversant before a string of debates. And he’d have to do so while
simultaneously keeping the busy schedule of a presidential candidate:
raising money, doing retail events, holding private meetings with staff
and potential supporters, conducting interviews and delivering speeches.
“There will be people pushing him to get out on the stump more, others
pushing for more finance events, and still others trying to pull him
behind closed doors for policy briefings and debate prep,” said GOP
consultant Todd Harris, who worked on Fred Thompson’s late-starting 2008
campaign. “And you pretty much have to say yes to all of them. It’s
definitely doable, but it’s a hell of a lot of work in a short period of
time.”
The time demands are all interrelated — decisions to focus on one come
at the expense of another. Devote hours to debate prep and TV interviews
and that’s a California fundraiser that you may not make and fewer
dollars you’ll eventually have. But spend that extra day out West
raising money and you sacrifice time on the ground in the early states
whose voters demand a personal touch and whose votes will determine if
you can even make it past the first month.
Christie
also seems unlikely to give up being governor, meaning he’ll be
spending a fair amount of time out of the state — and if he’s the
nominee, it will happen during key policy fights such as the budget in
the spring.
Fortunately for Christie, technology and his ability to command media
attention have made finding success after a late entry at least
plausible.
“If you have the ability to get on the news, paid or earned, you’re in the ballgame,” said a GOP campaign veteran.
Money
This is one area, more than any other, where Christie supporters feel confident he’ll do just fine.
Several bundlers who like Christie but who thought there was zero chance
he’d reconsider signed up with Romney. But many others have stayed on
the sidelines, including at least 40 or so who had told him they
wouldn’t go elsewhere if there was a chance he’d run.
They include some of the biggest gets in the donor community — Paul
Singer, Charles Schwab, Ken Langone — who’ve played a role in repeatedly
approaching Christie about running, despite the fact that the answer
was “no” over and over again.
“This is not going to be a problem,” said one donor who is familiar with
the private meetings Christie has held. “There’s just so much money on
the sidelines.”
Among the key reassurances the bundlers gave him? A super PAC would
immediately be formed to help raise unlimited sums of cash that couldn’t
be coordinated with his campaign but could support his candidacy.
The prospect of a super PAC cash infusion has played a role in
convincing Christie that he would be able to compete, despite a late
start, with two proven fundraisers, multiple sources said.
It’s not immediately clear what the target would be for Christie’s
initial quarter (which he’d join, as Perry did, once it was already
under way). But it’s likely to try to be on a par with at least what
Romney raised in his first quarter this cycle, $18 million.
And Christie has fans not just in the New York donor community, but in
other ATM states like California — places where large numbers of
hard-dollar checks can be bundled.
Christie Might Still Be Looking Beyond NJ
Thursday, 22 Sep 2011 05:18 AM
By Bradford Schmidt
Despite Chris Christie adamantly denying he’s seeking national office, a new television ad campaign, as well as comments from the New Jersey governor, may indicate some interest in moving beyond state politics, the Newark Star Ledger is reporting.
The ad, part of a $1.5 million campaign paid for by a nonprofit group called the Committee for Our Children’s Future, will air in New York and Philadelphia, and pointedly attacks Washington lawmakers while underscoring Christie’s leadership in New Jersey.
"Runaway spending, record debt, gridlock government," the ad says. "Washington is backwards. But Chris Christie, with bipartisan support, is taking New Jersey in another direction."
Criticism of federal politicians didn’t only come courtesy of a commercial voice-over.
Christie also made some barbed comments about federal officials during a recent speech, saying they were “ignoring the problems of Medicare, and Medicaid, and Social Security, and even though they can be fixed they’re, ‘too hard.’”
Observers of state and national politics suggest these might be indications that Christie is hoping to court a larger audience.
Brigid Harrison, a Montclair State University political science professor, said it is clear “that he is inserting himself in the national agenda.”
Brad Lawrence, a Democratic consultant, concurs. “I think this is clearly a spot with national ambitions and overtones,” Lawrence said about the television ad.
Ross Baker, a political science professor at Rutgers University suggested that perhaps after reviewing current Republican presidential hopefuls, Christie feels that “maybe it’s time for him to reconsider his earlier decision,” though he added that it’s possible the governor is simply reminding voters of his past record.
“It may be nothing,” Baker said.
Christie Plans to Lift Suspension on Medical Marijuana Program
July 18,2011.
New Jersey Governor Chris Christie said he plans to lift a suspension on implementing the state’s medical-marijuana program.
Christie, a first-term Republican and former U.S. prosecutor, told reporters he doesn’t believe federal law- enforcement officials will go after dispensaries of medical marijuana or state workers who help to implement the program.
“I believe that the need to provide compassionate pain relief to these citizens of our state outweighs the risk we are taking in moving forward with the program,” Christie said today in Trenton.
Former Governor Jon Corzine, a Democrat who Christie succeeded, signed a law in 2009 legalizing marijuana for medicinal use in New Jersey by those suffering from cancer, acquired immune deficiency syndrome and other afflictions.
Christie, who took office in 2010, initially sought to reduce the number of marijuana dispensaries and to place more regulations on how the drug was grown and prescribed, saying he wanted to prevent abuse.
In December, the governor announced a compromise that would allow six centers statewide to grow and dispense pot. It would also limit the potency of the prescribed drug.
Christie said last month he would delay New Jersey’s medical-marijuana law until getting clarification from U.S. authorities over whether workers would face federal charges. The sale and possession of pot is illegal under federal law, even for medical use.
Risk Worth Taking
“It’s a risk worth taking” to alleviate pain, Christie said. New Jersey’s medical-marijuana law allows for a “narrow, medically based program,” he said.
New Jersey’s health department will contact the six dispensaries today and expects to hear back from them within a week about their readiness to open, Christie said. The state plans to move forward “as expeditiously as possible,” he said.
Sixteen states and the District of Columbia have legalized marijuana for medical purposes, according to the Marijuana Policy Project, a Washington-based group that wants the drug legalized and regulated for all users.
--Editors: Stacie Servetah, Ted Bunker
To contact the reporter on this story: Elise Young in Trenton Statehouse at eyoung30@bloomberg.net
To contact the editor responsible for this story: Mark Tannenbaum at mtannen@bloomberg.net
Doug Schoen: Democrats Fear Christie Entering Presidential Race
Tuesday, 31 May 2011 04:44 PM
By Jim Meyers and Ashley Martella
Political analyst and Democratic pollster Doug Schoen tells Newsmax that while Mitt Romney is currently the strongest Republican challenger to President Obama, New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie is the candidate the Democrats fear the most.
Schoen also asserts that Democrats are engaging in “scare tactics” in attacking Rep. Paul Ryan’s Medicare overhaul proposal while offering no plan of their own, and says Republicans should offer a “less draconian” alternative to the Ryan plan.
Schoen served as an adviser during President Bill Clinton’s 1996 re-election campaign. He is a Fox News analyst and co-author, along with pollster Scott Rasmussen, of the book “Mad As Hell: How the Tea Party Movement Is Fundamentally Remaking Our Two-Party System.”
In an exclusive interview with Newsmax.TV, Schoen was asked which GOP candidate would have the best chance of defeating President Obama in 2012.
“Right now I think it’s Mitt Romney,” Schoen responds.
“He’s got name recognition, he’s got money, and he is a former businessman who has the ability to run on the economy. He does have the liability of having proposed a forerunner of Obamacare.
“But at this point I’d say Mitt Romney would be the toughest candidate for President Obama to beat.”
As for the potential candidate the Democrats fear the most, Schoen opines: “I think Democrats fear someone who’s not in the race, like New Jersey Governor Chris Christie.
“The American people are looking for fresh faces and if somebody like Chris Christie got into the race, I think there is a real chance that there could be a boomlet of excitement that could catapult him pretty quickly to the top of the polls.”
Former New York Mayor Rudy Giuliani was the top pick for president among Republicans and independents in a CNN poll released last week. Explaining the results, Schoen says: “That’s name recognition and dissatisfaction with the Republican field.
“I said Mitt Romney is the front-runner, but I didn’t say he’s enthusiastically embraced by the Republican base. He isn’t. Rudy Giuliani is remembered well for is work in New York City, fighting terrorism, helping the city recover after 9-11. There is a clear sense that he is somebody who could and should be heard from.
“The problem he has is he is perceived as too much of a centrist for an increasingly conservative Republican primary electorate.”
Schoen tells Newsmax that the Democrats’ efforts to vilify Rep. Ryan’s Medicare reform plan is a “winning strategy,” noting that a Democratic House candidate won a special election in a traditionally Republican New York district last week by focusing largely on that issue.
“They did win substantially and it was all because of Medicare. They are engaging in scare tactics. They don’t have an alternative set of policies.
“But bottom line, it’s a lot better to win than to lose in politics, and last week the Democrats won and the Republicans lost.”
He adds that the results of that election show that “people are angry and scared” about the perceived threat to Medicare.
Referring to an anti-Ryan plan TV commercial showing a grandmother in a wheelchair being dumped off a cliff, Schoen declares: “It’s probably fair game if it works, dirty pool if it doesn’t.
“But in this case both sides have engaged in extreme rhetoric. I don’t think it helps the system, but Democrats would argue it is a visual representation of what the Republicans have done with the Ryan plan. And while I don’t think it’s necessarily constructive in the broader sense of the word, in the more narrow sense it’s been effective.”
Schoen says Republicans should not stand staunchly behind the Ryan plan as it is now formulated.
“You can always revise a plan. You can always clarify a plan. I think the Republicans would do well to take the Ryan plan, go back to the drawing board, and see if they can come up with something that is a little less draconian and offer something less than the complete replacement of Medicare with a voucher system.”
Schoen also says that while President Obama has won ratings approval for the raid that killed Osama bin Laden, he remains vulnerable on the economy.
“The economy is a real drag on the president’s performance. So far he’s benefitted from the fact that there is positive economic growth, however tepid, and interest rates have stayed low.
“But if interest rates went up and gas prices continued to go up, I think we could see that this election, which is a tight one now, could get tighter still.”
Chris Christie Eats Poor Children!
By Stephen Guy Hardin
April 27, 2011
The Communist News Network…I mean CNN, dispatched one of their rising star propagandists, Deborah Feyerick, to mold a political hit piece on the popular Conservative Republican Governor of New Jersey, Chris Christie. After watching the end result of CNN’s assault, I feel that the yet, undead soul of Bill Moyers, would be proud. Or jealous.
In the best tradition of totalitarian, bootlicking propagandists from Leni Riefenstahl to Michael Moore, Ms. Feyerick has served her Progressive masters well.
Progressive masters, indeed.
The oversized target of CNN’s attack piece, Chris Christie, has pushed himself onto the top of the Left wing hit list by his blunt, confrontational style. Christie’s in your face assault on the Progressive political agenda has put him in the extra large gun sites of the New Jersey Democrat political machine, which has tried to push New Jersey back into the Stone Age. According to the CNN report the Governors biggest crime against the people of New Jersey was cutting rampant over spending and attempting to balance a budget criminally out of control.
Yikes!
Ms. Feyerick’s overtly covert political mission was to manipulate a series of edited clips and sparsed news bites that would spotlight the perceived negative effects of Governor Christie's cuts to education funding. Feyerick searched wide and far among the hoards of Obama supporters to find a story that highlighted the perceived plight of an illiterate kindergartner from one of Jersey’s many "high risk" neighborhoods.
This CNN segment, which was clapped together for CNN’s American Morning, was designed and packaged to portray the sad circumstances of a disadvantaged student who was being victimized by the cold, evil, money crazed, racist Republicans that Christie represents
How original is that?
Seriously, Ms. Feyerick, this stuff was getting tedious during President Reagan’s first term.It’s a little hard to believe that you haven’t picked up any new tricks in the ways of Leftist propaganda since the Eighties.Haven’t you been attending any of George Soros’s film propaganda classes?
The star of CNN’s hit piece was a young girl from a "high risk" school district, who needs a reading tutor to ensure she can read at her classmates' level. Wait a minute, isn’t that her teacher’s job? Or perhaps even her school?No, apparently, it takes more than a village. It takes millions of state and federal tax dollars.
CNN then meticulously stage managed the Trenton Public School Superintendent Raymond Broach, as he whined on cue about the unfairness of the $12 million that was cut from his district's budget last year.Oh, the misery and suffering that comes from living within a budget.
"You've just made that race for some learners almost next to impossible," he cried, as the CNN film crew broke into thunderous applause and joined Mr. Broach in a group hug.
In their efforts to present a balanced response to their attack piece, CNN played a brief Governor Christie video sound bite from one of Christie’s campaign stops at a VFW bratwurst eating contest. To further slant their news, CNN’s crack staff of media hacks, pulled an out of context quote from a different press conference, and pushed it as the Governors’ response to the state’s education budget cuts.
The crack Soviet…. uh, CNN, talking heads, then reported that Christie’s cuts may be ruled unconstitutional by the state's Supreme Court in the case of Marx vs. Liberty. A New Jersey school-advocacy organization has also initiated an appeal by filing a motion stating that Christie's cuts went against the state's school funding law and that he was also a big, fat, Nazi, fascist pig.
But, I digress.
CNN’s final body count to the truth was one illiterate kindergartner, one politically motivated plaintiff of a lawsuit against the state and one superintendent of a lower-income school district, whose real concern was how budget cuts would affect the payment schedule of his new Mercedes.
Bill Maher, Joy Behar, Michael Moore, Kevin Smith and the whole corrupt, Progressive Hollywood noise machine would applaud Ms. Feyerick’s efforts to frame the New Jersey budget crisis in the light of poor, under privileged children versus the evil GOP corporate fat cats.
.
The only thing that actually surprised me was that there wasn’t a computer animated video of a 50 foot tall, claymation Governor, stomping through the rainbow and lollipop land of Newark’s inner cities with handfuls of children in both hands. It’s a script that writes itself, much in the same way that Wes Anderson creates an on screen soul for Bill Murray. Just visualize, if you will, a Fifties style, early Roger Corman style movie B-Move, with the bottom of the screen draped with a giant banner proclaiming, Chris Christie eats poor children!
NJ Gov. Christie calls Ill. governor 'a disaster'
AP – New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie listens to a question in his outer office at the Statehouse Thursday, … 3/5/2011
TRENTON, N.J.
– Gov. Chris Christie said Friday that he's not worried about
businesses leaving for Illinois because Illinois Gov. Pat Quinn is "a
disaster."
Christie's comments come as ads are set to appear in
several New Jersey publications on Monday, including NJ Biz, criticizing
the state's business climate. They were paid for by the advocacy group
For a Better Chicago and are in retaliation for an ad campaign Christie
launched to encourage businesses in Illinois to relocate to New Jersey.
"Let me tell you something: We won't lose any
business to Illinois as long as Pat Quinn's the governor," Christie, a
Republican, said during a news conference Thursday. "He's a disaster."
The Chicago group said it's taking out the ads to set the record straight on which state has the best business climate.
"We understand that governors have to be cheerleaders
for their states, but the claims Gov. Christie is making are so far
from the truth," said Jake Braun, For a Better Chicago spokesman.
The Chicago ads, which say "Rhetoric is nice, reality matters," focus on New Jersey's high property taxes and cost of living.
Christie launched his campaign after Quinn, a
Democrat, raised personal income taxes to 5 percent from 3 percent and
corporate business taxes to 9.5 percent from 7.3 percent to help balance
his budget.
In print and radio ads, Christie reiterated his
commitment not to raise taxes. Christie also took a trip last month to
Chicago to meet with business leaders.
Quinn spokeswoman Brie Callahan said Quinn has more important things to do than worry about Christie.
"Instead of making personal attacks on other
governors, Gov. Quinn is focused on getting our state's fiscal house in
order and continuing to make Illinois an even stronger economic
competitor," she said.
HILLSBOROUGH, N.J. — Gov. Chris Christie,
long at odds with unions over his budget-cutting ways, said that he's
ready to start negotiating with state worker unions – and that he
"loves" collective bargaining.
Christie said at a town hall meeting in Hillsborough that New Jersey
is very different from Wisconsin, where a debate rages over whether that
state's Republican governor is trying to break unions by getting rid of
collective bargaining. Christie said he has never suggested that
collective bargaining rights be taken away.
Just the opposite, said Christie, a darling of the Republican Party.
"In fact, I love collective bargaining," Christie told the crowd
Wednesday, packed into a room in the municipal building. "I've said
let's get rid of civil service and let everything be collectively
bargained, as long as collective bargaining is fair, tough, adversarial
and there's someone in that room representing you."
After accusing former Gov. Jon Corzine, a Democrat, of being too cozy
with the unions, Christie said there would be a different tone this
year.
"Let me at them. Get me out of the cage and let me go," Christie said.
The governor also said he wants to roll back a 9 percent pension
increase signed into law a decade ago by former Republican Gov. Donald
DiFrancesco, who was in the audience at Wednesday's meeting.
DiFrancesco said Christie is right.
"Things are different now, and it's choking the system," he said. "He needs to do something dramatic."
DiFrancesco said he did what he thought was right at the time –
noting that the economic outlook was better and that the pension system
was running a surplus. Now, the pension system for government workers,
teachers, police, firefighters, judges and teachers is underfunded by
$54 billion.
Christie spokesman Michael Drewniak said the administration has
reached out to all the major unions to set up an initial meeting.
Christie has a difficult history with unions. He refused to meet with
a state teachers union during his campaign and later took on their
salaries and benefits. The conflict led to heated rhetoric, including
Facebook posts calling Christie fat, comparing him to a genocidal
dictator and wishing for his death.
Communications Workers of America spokesman Bob Master said he takes
Christie's "love" of collective bargaining with a grain of salt.
"You can't love collective bargaining and want to unilaterally ram
health care changes through the legislature in two weeks' time," Master
said. "Those are not consistent."
Christie has been pushing legislative leaders to act on health care changes by mid-March.
Master said the administration offered to meet with CWA officials March 11.
The union has criticized the Republican governor and state Senate
President Stephen Sweeny for proposing ways to significantly increase
the amount public employees pay for health care through legislation, not
collective bargaining.
Christie wants benefit changes that make the health insurance system
more like the private sector or the federal government, with employees
paying about one-third of the costs of whatever benefits plan they
choose.
Sweeney's plan calls for employees to contribute 12 percent to 30 percent, depending on income, over several years.
Christie defended the move to use legislation for the reforms, noting
that's how the unions were able to secure a 9 percent pension increase.
"If we're giving them something, it's OK to go to the Legislature,"
Christie said. "If we're taking something back, it's a violation of the
sacrosanct of collective bargaining?"
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