It all started with people who opposed slavery. They were common,
everyday people who bristled at the notion that men had any right to
oppress their fellow man. In the early 1850’s, these anti-slavery
activists found commonality with rugged individuals looking to settle in
western lands, free of government charges. “Free soil, free labor, free
speech, free men,” went the slogan. And it was thus in joint opposition
to human enslavement and government tyranny that an enterprising people
gave birth to the Republican Party.
In 1856, the Republicans became a national party by nominating John
C. Fremont for President. Four years later, with the election of Abraham
Lincoln in 1860, the Republicans firmly established themselves as a
major political party. The name "Republican" was chosen because it
alluded to equality and reminded individuals of Thomas Jefferson's
Democratic-Republican Party.
In 1861, the Civil War erupted, lasting four grueling years. During
the war, against the advice of his cabinet, President Lincoln signed the
Emancipation Proclamation that freed the slaves. The Republicans of the
day worked to pass the Thirteenth Amendment, which outlawed slavery;
the Fourteenth Amendment, which guaranteed equal protection under the
laws; and the Fifteenth, which helped secure voting rights for
African-Americans. All of these accomplishments extended and cemented
the fundamental freedoms our nation continues to enjoy today.
The Republican Party also played a leading role in securing women the
right to vote. In 1896, the Republican Party was the first major
political party to support women's suffrage. When the 19th Amendment
finally was added to the Constitution, 26 of 36 state legislatures that
had voted to ratify it were under Republican control. The first woman
elected to Congress was a Republican, Jeanette Rankin from Montana in
1917. So it was by hardworking Republican hands that color and gender
barriers were first demolished in America.
Republicans believe individuals, not government, can make the best
decisions; all people are entitled to equal rights; and decisions are
best made close to home. These basic principles are as true today as
they were when the Party was founded. For all of the extraordinary
leaders the Party has produced throughout its rich history, Republicans
understand that everyday people in all 50 states and territories remain
the heart and soul of our Party.
Presidents during most of the late nineteenth century and the early
part of the twentieth century were Republicans. The White House was in
Republican hands under Presidents Dwight D. Eisenhower, Richard Nixon,
Gerald Ford, Ronald Reagan, George H.W. Bush and George W. Bush. Under
Presidents Ronald Reagan and George H.W. Bush, the United States won the
Cold War, releasing millions from Communist oppression, in true
anti-big government Republican spirit.
The symbol of the Republican Party is the elephant. During the mid
term elections in 1874, Democrats tried to scare voters into thinking
President Ulysses S. Grant would seek to run for an unprecedented third
term. Thomas Nast, a cartoonist for Harper's Weekly, depicted a
Democratic donkey trying to scare a Republican elephant - and both
symbols stuck. For a long time Republicans have been known as the
"G.O.P." with party faithful believing it meant the "Grand Old Party."
But apparently the original meaning (in 1875) was "gallant old party."
When automobiles were invented it also came to mean, "get out and push."
That's still a pretty good slogan for Republicans who depend every
campaign year on the hard work of hundreds of thousands of everyday
volunteers to get out and vote and push people to support the causes of
the Republican Party.
Abolition. Free speech. Women's suffrage. These were all causes the
Republican Party, adopted early on. So, too, were reducing the size of
government, streamlining bureaucracy, and returning power to individual
states. With a core belief in the primacy of individuals, the Republican
Party, since its inception, has been at the forefront of the fight for
individuals' rights in opposition to a large, intrusive government.
Steele draws challenger for GOP chairman
AP – FILE - In this Nov. 2, 2010 file photo, Republican National Committee Chairman Michael Steele speaks …
–
21 mins ago
WASHINGTON – A prominent Michigan Republican said Friday he is running against Michael Steele,
arguing the GOP can win in 2012 only if the party chairman steps out of
the limelight and allows candidates to be the voice and face of the
party. Saul Anuzis, who lost his bid for Republican National Committee chairman two years ago, made his plans known in an e-mail.
"My agenda is very straightforward. I have no
interest in running for office. I won't be writing a book. It is not my
goal to be famous," said Anuzis,
who promised to serve just one two-year term and work hard to elect
Republicans "from the top to every township and city across this great
country of ours."
His statement was a slap at Steele, who has generated
controversy repeatedly in his tenure as party chairman, sometimes
drawing attention that was detrimental to the Republican cause.
Steele has not said whether he will seek re-election
to a new two-year term in January. Republicans have been seeking to
recruit a strong challenger to Steele, whose tenure has been marked by
ill-chosen remarks and questions about the party's finances.
Earlier this year, Steele released his book, "Right
Now: A 12-Step Program for Defeating the Obama Agenda," and angered many
Republicans with his comments in interviews tied to the publication.
Steele said he thought Republicans had "screwed up" for the most part in
the years since Ronald Reagan was president.
In his statement, Anuzis, the former head of the Michigan Republican Party,
also said the GOP will need to rebuild trust with major donors who
abandoned the party in 2010 and supported outside political
organizations instead.
"We need these groups and their support, but they
can't be expected to replace the RNC in a presidential year. We must ...
bring them back to the table," he said.
Henry Barbour, a nephew of Republican Governors Association
chairman and Mississippi Gov. Haley Barbour, has reached out to a
half-dozen potential candidates who would challenge Steele if he seeks
to keep the chairmanship. The younger Barbour, who is one of the 168
voting members of the RNC, is looking for candidates who could rally an
anti-Steele voting bloc when members meet Jan. 13-16.
Among the names being considered are David Norcross,
a former New Jersey party chairman, and Wisconsin GOP chairman and RNC
lawyer Reince Priebus, who ran Steele's 2009 bid for chairman. Henry
Barbour also has talked about the chairman's race with former North
Dakota GOP Chairman Gary Emineth and Maria Cino, a Bush administration
official who ran Republicans' House campaign committee in the 1990s.
Another possible candidate, Connecticut GOP Chairman
Chris Healy, is talking about a run but hasn't made a decision. Even so,
he is highlighting his work as a fundraiser, a traditional role for the
national committee chief.
"I've shown I can grind money out of a stone and actually get a lot for it," Healy said this week.
Speaker-in-waiting Boehner balances GOP factions
By CHARLES BABINGTON, Associated Press Writer Charles Babington, Associated Press Writer
Mon Sep 6, 3:14 am ET
WASHINGTON – John Boehner could walk down most American streets without turning a head.
But the perpetually tanned, chain-smoking
Ohioan might be the next House speaker and a huge force in national
politics, trying to manage an increasingly libertarian-leaning
Republican caucus while leading the opposition to President Barack
Obama's policies.
For those who know Boehner (pronounced
BAY'-nur), the question is which version of the House Republican leader
will emerge as speaker if the GOP takes at least 40 seats from Democrats
in November.
Will it be the policy-minded lawmaker who
sometimes shows bipartisan tendencies, such as when he worked with the
late Sen. Ted Kennedy, D-Mass., on major education bills?
Or will it be the fiery partisan of recent
months who shouted "hell no" to Obama's health care bill and who threw
the Democrats' massive economic stimulus bill to the House floor in a
theatrical rebuke?
Boehner left little doubt that the president
and other Democrats will face fierce resistance in the House if he is
speaker, starting with a push to dismantle Obama's hard-fought health
care law.
"We're going to do everything we can to
prevent this law from being implemented, and I mean everything," Boehner
said in a recent interview. "I think it will ruin health care and
bankrupt the country."
In truth, Obama's veto powers will make it
virtually impossible to repeal the law. Still, Boehner said, he would
use every parliamentary and appropriations trick available, including
making sure "they don't get the funds to hire employees to implement the
law."
Boehner, 60, has been raising his profile in
recent days, giving well-publicized speeches in Cleveland and Milwaukee
criticizing Obama's economic and military policies.
Still, he knows he won't become a household
name overnight. His ramped-up schedule is mainly a signal to GOP
colleagues and political insiders that he's ready to assume leadership
of the House — and in some respects, the entire party — if voters end
four years of Democratic House control and Rep. Nancy Pelosi's
speakership.
For Boehner, leading a full-throated
Republican opposition to Obama and congressional Democrats might be the
easy part. His bigger challenge looms on his right. Restless and
uncompromisingly conservative Republicans probably will expand their
ranks after tea party loyalists win some races Nov. 2.
Boehner already has a somewhat wary alliance
with several younger and more dogmatic GOP members. They include Rep.
Eric Cantor of Virginia, the party's second-ranking House leader.
Cantor and two colleagues — Reps. Kevin
McCarthy of California and Paul Ryan of Wisconsin — are publishing a
Republican manifesto, "Young Guns: A New Generation of Conservative
Leaders," which is promoted by a flashy video.
There's one glaring omission in the hoopla over the book: any reference to Boehner.
Republicans say there's little chance of a
coup attempt if the GOP takes control of the House. But expectations
have soared so high that every leadership post, including Cantor's,
could be in play if they fall short.
House members elect their respective party
leaders. The majority party's top leader becomes the speaker, who wields
enormous influence over legislation and follows the vice president in
the line of presidential succession.
Boehner scoffs at suggestions that the "young guns" might undermine his leadership.
"They are some of our brightest, most
energetic members," he said in a telephone interview between campaign
stops for House candidates in the Dakotas. He praised, without fully
endorsing, Ryan's much-debated proposals to replace the corporate income
tax with a consumption tax and to transform Medicare over time into a
voucher program that wouldn't keep pace with rising health care costs.
Ryan's road map "is very good work," Boehner said. He added that he doesn't agree with everything Ryan proposes.
Republican strategist and lobbyist John Feehery, who worked for former
Speaker Dennis Hastert, R-Ill., said Boehner will have to cope with "a
bunch of rambunctious new members." He predicts partisan gridlock, but
he said Boehner can effectively lead his party and its young cadre of
firebreathers.
"He provides adult leadership," Feehery said.
On the surface, Boehner is a Washington throwback. He loves golf and
cocktails. He is genial and courteous to almost everyone, including
reporters and Democratic staffers. He constantly smokes Barclay
cigarettes, even during meetings in his Capitol office. And he maintains
a remarkably deep tan, which Obama and others have gently mocked.
The second of 12 children in a Catholic family from Cincinnati, Boehner
played high school football and helped at his father's bar and
restaurant. He worked his way through college, sometimes as a janitor,
graduating from Xavier University at age 27. He rose to the top of a
plastics distribution company, and entered Republican politics in his
hometown.
While clearly a conservative, Boehner has sometimes worked with
Democrats to enact major legislation. Notable examples include his 2001
collaboration with Kennedy and Rep. George Miller, D-Calif., now a top
Pelosi ally, to pass President George W. Bush's No Child Left Behind
education bill.
In 2008, Boehner was embarrassed when he failed to corral enough GOP
votes to help the Democratic majority pass an early version of the
financial bailout bill. The Dow plunged 780 points that day.
The often-emotional GOP leader seemed to choke back tears when he asked
colleagues to search their souls for the nation's best interests.
The episode might suggest that Boehner is a bit less rigidly partisan
than some of his fellow GOP leaders. Most House Republicans opposed the
bailout bill that he backed.
Hastert, as speaker, had a "majority of the majority" rule. He would not
push major legislation unless most of his GOP caucus supported it,
rendering the Democratic minority almost superfluous.
Boehner says he would want to "make sure our team is supportive" of big
bills, but he stopped short of embracing Hastert's rule. "All members
should have a role in the legislative process," Boehner said.
Even a whiff of bipartisan cooperation angers some tea party supporters,
and Boehner might clash with the newest and most ideological House
Republicans. But in other respects, they might be kindred souls.
Boehner entered the House in 1991 as a windows-rattling reformer. He
joined the "Gang of Seven" that insisted on naming all 355 members with
overdrafts at the House Bank, a damaging scandal.
And he has long opposed earmark spending, which some lawmakers use to
steer pet projects to their districts. It's a favorite conservative
target this year.
Boehner was a key ally of Rep. Newt Gingrich when the firebrand Georgia
lawmaker led the 1994 Republican revolution that ended four decades of
Democratic House control. But Boehner lost his leadership post in the
turmoil that followed the speaker's downfall in 1998. Boehner spent
years quietly cultivating friendships with colleagues and planning his
return to power, which came in 2005.
Now possibly on the cusp of nationwide recognition and clout, Boehner is
a solid choice for a Republican Party that must harness and direct its
emotions if it is to regain the ground it lost in the last two
elections, said Rep. Jack Kingston, R-Ga.
Kingston, an 18-year House veteran who has had his own turns in the GOP
leadership, said Boehner "is a known quantity. He's not going to be
saying anything stupid or doing anything stupid."
Boehner may lack Gingrich's revolutionary zeal and intellectual bent,
Kingston said, but he has a steadier grasp of intramural politics.
"He'd be better able to manage that new, hard-energy reform crowd than
Newt," Kingston said, adding that the House "is a political body, not an
ideological body."
Jeb Bush Sees Rising Star in Wisconsin Governor's Race
Republican Scott Walker Touts 'Brown Bag' Approach to Government
By TEDDY DAVIS
May 12, 2010
Wisconsin Republicans have yet to nominate a candidate for governor. Indeed, the state's primary is not until Sept. 14. But two national GOP heavyweights -- former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush and former House Speaker Newt Gingrich -- are bullish on the prospects of Scott Walker, the self-described, brown-bag-packing county executive of Milwaukee.
"The guy is a fantastic candidate," Bush said. "The event that we did together, he gave a stump speech that sounded like it was the last three days of the campaign. I mean, he was on fire. It was, it was, he's the real deal."
The Wisconsin governor's race is one of the 2010 contests that could have implications in the 2012 White House race. Much more so than senators, governors tend to command the kind of state political machinery that can make a difference in a presidential contest.
Although President Obama carried the state by 14 points over John McCain in 2008, the state was a major battleground in 2004 when John Kerry won the state by 1 percent and in 2000 when Al Gore carried the state by less than 1 percent, a mere 5,708 votes.
Walker, 42, has put anecdotes about his personal frugality at the center of his campaign. In all his campaign messaging, he touts himself as someone who "drives a 1998 Saturn with 100,000 miles on it" and who "packs the same brown-bag lunch before heading to the office to save money: two ham and cheese sandwiches on wheat with mayo."
His first television ad touted that he has given back $370,000 in salary over eight years because he thought it was wrong for the county executive to be paid more than the state's governor.
"My wife was like, 'We're doing what?'" Walker said in his first television ad. "But we believe that government spends too much and that included my salary."
Making political hay out of the lunch that he packs for himself, Walker has branded his events around the state as part of a "Brown Bag Movement" that has three tenets: (1) "don't spend more than you have"; (2) "smaller government is better government"; and (3) "people create jobs, not government."
Walker's movement has a website that includes images of brown paper bags with pointed messages on them such as, "I'd be eating out if the government wasn't gobbling up all my money." Another message is, "We spent $780 billion on a stimulus plan and all I got was this brown bag."
Walker: 'Hard to Digest' All Newt Gingrich's E-Mails
During a recent fundraising trip to Washington, D.C., Walker talked to ABC News about the hands-on approach that Gingrich has taken toward his candidacy.
"Newt, my gosh, Newt must e-mail me like every other day, sometimes, I think, with new ideas," Walker said. "Sometimes, it's hard to digest it all."
One part of Walker's appeal to Republican bigwigs is his Milwaukee base. If Walker outperforms the typical Republican in Milwaukee, he said, he believes that traditional Republican strength in more rural parts of the state will power him to victory in November.
"The year I got 60 percent, Obama took two-thirds of the vote in my county," Walker said. "We're going to run to win in Milwaukee County, but if I get, say, 45 percent, it's over."
Another part of Walker's appeal to Republicans is his fiscal record in Milwaukee. The size of the government workforce is down 23 percent from where it was in 2002 and the county debt is down by 10 percent, he said.
Democrats have responded to Walker's "Brown Bag Movement" with their own "Bag Scott Walker" campaign. Walker's critics are eager to use Jeb Bush's support to tie the Wisconsin Republican to the economic record of Jeb Bush's brother, former President George W. Bush.
"Wisconsin cannot afford another Bush recession, which is just what Scott Walker would bring us," Michael Tate, the executive director of the Wisconsin Democratic Party, said.
Jeb Bush Has Endorsed Other GOP Hopefuls
Walker is also being criticized by Democrats for spending lavishly on the meals associated with campaign fundraising. A March analysis by the Associated Press ran under the headline, "Walker Meals Aren't Always 'Brown Bag.'"
"The campaign's bills for Walker's meals, campaign meetings that included meals for Walker, his staff and others, and food and drinks for fundraising events amount to at least $24,500 since mid-2008," the A.P. wrote.
"By contrast, the campaigns of his GOP primary rival Mark Neumann and Democratic opponent Tom Barrett spent some money on food and drinks for fundraisers but virtually nothing on meals for themselves and their campaign meetings. Both entered the race later than Walker."
Bush, who met Walker last year at a meeting of the Republican Governors Association in Sun Valley, Idaho, said he believes Walker's track record in Wisconsin's most populous county gives his "brown bag" message credibility.
"There are symbols in campaigns and then there are gimmicks," Bush said. "This is a symbol because he's proven he's a thrifty, frugal man. He lives his life in a way, in the way he's served as county executive. So, it's a good connection to how he would serve as governor because he's already done it."
Walker is one of five Republicans whom Bush is backing in competitive gubernatorial primaries: the others are former eBay CEO Meg Whitman in California, former state Sen. Bradley Byrne in Alabama, Attorney General Tom Corbett in Pennsylvania and Attorney General Bill McCollum in Florida.
When endorsing a gubernatorial candidate in a competitive GOP primary, Bush said he looks for someone who is committed to education reform. He also looks for conservative change agents.
"The duty of a leader is to change the way things work if they don't work," Bush said. "And a lot of things aren't working these days."
ABC News' Matt Loffman contributed to this report.
Dear Stephen Guy,
President Obama's judicial nominees have made it clear: the Founding
Fathers got it wrong. If confirmed, Leftists like Goodwin Liu, Louis
Butler, and David Hamilton will go through the Constitution with a red
pen, radically expanding the power of government and dealing a
devastating blow to personal freedom. How do we know? Because they've told us.
We've put their version of the
Constitution online at GOP.com, so that you can see how they'll
demolish our nation's ideals if given the chance. Don't give them that
chance. Stop these radicals now, before it's too late.
Do you think that the Founding Fathers got it wrong? If not, take action today.
Yours,
The GOP Action Team
Republican National Committee | 310 First
Street, SE | Washington,
D.C. 20003
p: 202.863.8500 | f: 202.863.8820 | e: info@gop.com
Posted on Wed, Apr. 21, 2010
Feds launch inquiry into Florida GOP credit-card expenses
BY JAY WEAVER, BETH REINHARD AND LUCY MORGAN Herald/Times staff writers
Former Florida House speakers Ray Sansom, left, and Marco Rubio are subjects of an inquiry.
Federal law enforcement agencies have launched a criminal investigation into the use of American Express cards issued by the Republican Party of Florida to elected officials and staff, according to sources familiar with the probe.
The U.S. attorney's office in Tallahassee, the FBI and the Internal Revenue Service are all involved in the probe, which grew out of the state investigation into former House Speaker Ray Sansom. He was indicted on criminal charges that he stashed $6 million in the state budget for an airplane hangar for a friend and campaign donor.
In the federal case, Sansom and others could be charged with making false statements on their tax returns and tax evasion.
A spokeswoman for the Republican Party of Florida, Katie Gordon, said she could not confirm the investigation nor make any comments. Coming in a high-stakes election year, the investigation could expose the inner-workings of a party that has dominated state government and raked in millions of dollars from lobbyists and special interests.
Meanwhile, in a separate inquiry, the IRS is also looking at the tax records of at least three former party credit card holders -- former Florida House Speaker Marco Rubio, ex-state party chairman Jim Greer and ex-party executive director Delmar Johnson -- to determine whether they misused their party credit cards for personal expenses, according to a source familiar with the preliminary inquiry.
Political parties, which are tax exempt, are only allowed to spend money on political activities, such as fundraising, running campaigns and registering voters. While it's commonplace for party officials and politicians to wine and dine donors, the Florida party allowed credit cardholders to rack up hundreds of thousands of dollars in charges with little oversight.
The IRS opened the so-called ``primary'' investigation into Rubio, the leading Republican candidate for Florida's open U.S. Senate seat, and the two state GOP ex-officials to see if there's enough evidence to support a full-fledged criminal probe, according to a source familiar with the IRS examination.
Rubio campaign advisor Todd Harris said Tuesday that the former lawmaker from Miami has not been contacted by any federal investigators.
`NOTHING TO THIS'
``There is absolutely nothing to this,'' he said. ``Anyone who is looking into it or investigating will quickly come to the same conclusion.''
Rubio billed the party for more than $100,000 during the two years he served as House speaker, according to credit card statements obtained by The Miami Herald and St. Petersburg Times. The charges included repairs to the family minivan, grocery bills, plane tickets for his wife, and purchases from retailers ranging from a wine store near his home to Apple's on-line store. Rubio also charged the party for dozens of meals during the annual lawmaking session in Tallahassee, even though he received taxpayer subsidies for his meals.
Rubio said the billings all related to party business -- the minivan, for example, was damaged by a valet at a political function -- and that he repaid the party for about $16,000 in personal expenses.
Asked during his campaign bus tour last week if he needed to amend his tax returns to reflect any party money that covered his personal expenses, Rubio said, ``We don't believe it's income. It's not. . .`Whatever the law is, we're going to comply, but I don't think it's income.''
Greer, who was forced to resign in January amid allegations that he misspent party money, said of the IRS inquiry, ``I paid all my taxes and did everything my accountant told me to do.''
Johnson referred questions on Tuesday about the IRS inquiry to his attorney, Bob Leventhal, who could not be reached late Tuesday. His credit card statements, which were obtained by the Herald/Times, included chartered planes, lavish meals and golf outings.
Greer and Johnson are at the center of a Florida Department of Law Enforcement investigation into a secretly formed political consulting firm that reaped $200,000 from the party. Greer, in turn, has filed a lawsuit against the party that says it reneged on a $124,000 severance deal that also would have absolved him of any financial wrongdoing.
Greer was replaced by state Sen. John Thrasher of St. Augustine in a special election, who signed the secret agreement with the chairman along with two other top lawmakers, incoming Senate President Mike Haridopolos and House Speaker Dean Cannon.
Cannon charged about $200,000 in 2008 and 2009, of which he identified more than $3,000 in personal expenses. He reimbursed the party after his American Express card statements were disclosed in the press.
Haridopolos billed only $2,400 during the three months he had a party American Express -- most of it on food for fundraising events in his hometown.
Rubio's struggling rival for the U.S. Senate, Gov. Charlie Crist, has seized on the former lawmaker's credit card spending to try to raise questions about his integrity.
Rubio acknowledged in February that he double-billed state taxpayers and the party for several plane flights from South Florida to Tallahassee. He said he would pay the party back about for eight flights totaling about $3,000, but the party said Tuesday it had not received a check.
Harris said the campaign has determined that only six were double-billed and is waiting for the party to verify the exact amount.
Rubio's tax attorney, Steve Wasserstein, said Tuesday that the double-billing was an ``accounting mistake'' that does not require an amended filing and will be easily rectified when Rubio repays the party.
RECORDS EYED
At this stage of the IRS investigation, agents are looking at federal tax records, stat financial disclosure forms and other documents to see whether Rubio, Greer and Johnson may have personally benefited from using their GOP American Express cards without reporting or paying taxes on additional income.
``They would be interested in pursuing a case if the amount of money was big and it was being spent on people and things that were prohibited under the GOP's structure,'' said Jose I. Marrero, former special agent in charge of the IRS' South Florida office.
A spokesperson for the IRS in South Florida declined to confirm or deny the existence of the preliminary probe.
The party stopped issuing credit cards last year after Greer cut up his own American Express card up at a party meeting to try to quash the uproar over spending.
St. Petersburg Times political editor Adam C. Smith contributed to this report.
Washington Post Staff Writer Monday, March 29, 2010
Could 2010 be the year of the Republican businessman?
Early returns in governors' and Senate races across the country show men and women who have spent their entire lives in the private sector making significant gains in their first runs for office.
Take Meg Whitman, the former eBay chief executive who has catapulted into a general-election lead over California Attorney General Jerry Brown (D) fueled by a sustained run of ads touting her business background. "The professional politicians have been fighting in Sacramento for years," Whitman says in one campaign ad. "I think a business perspective is a bit of what California needs right now."
Whitman is the best known but far from the only businessperson making waves in electoral politics this year.
Wealthy businessman Bill Binnie, regarded as the main threat to former state Attorney General Kelly Ayotte in the New Hampshire Republican primary for the seat being vacated by Sen. Judd Gregg (R), makes clear he plans to highlight his business background during the campaign.
In Michigan, Rick Snyder, a former Gateway computer company chief executive, has emerged as a serious contender for the Republican gubernatorial nod, thanks to a series of ads that tout his business experience and portray him as "one tough nerd."
Former wrestling executive Linda McMahon has taken the lead in Connecticut's Senate primary race against former representative Rob Simmons, while former Hewlett Packard executive Carly Fiorina finds herself in a jump-ball primary with former representative Tom Campbell in the California Senate contest. In Massachusetts, health-care executive Charlie Baker is in a tight three-way general-election battle with Gov. Deval Patrick (D) and state Treasurer Tim Cahill, running as an independent.
A few common threads run through the campaigns: a message that sending the same people to Washington won't produce different results and a significant outlay of personal money.
Whitman is in a class of her own when it comes to self-funding. She already has given her campaign $39 million, with much more to come, according to informed sources. McMahon has pledged to donate up to $50 million, while Snyder has given his campaign $2.6 million and Binnie has dumped more than $1 million of his money into the race.
Freed from the strictures of the never-ending hunt for campaign cash, these business candidates can push a fiscally focused message that, if polls are to believed, is what most Americans want to hear. "Most of my career has been about building companies and creating jobs," Binnie said in a recent interview. "I've seen a lot of life. That's part of who I am."
It's worth noting that the political world is littered with free-spending businesspeople who fell short in their runs for office -- often brought low by allegations of outsourcing and exorbitant salary payouts.
But, in a political environment where job approval numbers for Congress rarely crest the low teens and professional politicians are personae non gratae to voters, it may be that candidates with no experience in elective office but a strong string of successes in the business world will be the right fit for the electorate this fall.
If people such as Whitman, Snyder and Binnie wind up getting elected, look for some strategists within the Republican Party to float the idea of a businessman (or -woman) as a possible candidate for president in 2012.
Tea is for trouble
Hoping to counter the growing political power of the "tea party" movement, Democratic consultant Craig Varoga has formed an organization to target candidates who run under that banner for defeat.
Known as Patriot Majority PAC, the group was created in late 2009 and -- thanks to a Supreme Court ruling last week -- can accept unlimited contributions from individuals and expressly advocate for the election or defeat of a candidate.
"Americans need to confront the dangerous ideas of the tea party movement head-on, without any fear, before they gain any additional traction in the legislative process or the 2010 elections," said Varoga, who managed former Iowa governor Tom Vilsack's 2008 presidential race.
Varoga added that the group planned to concentrate its efforts, which are likely to include television and radio ads, on 12 to 15 races where a candidate affiliated with the tea party is running.
In addition, Varoga is hoping Patriot Majority can serve as a clearinghouse for tea party activity across the country. "We are asking all Americans to join us and oppose the extreme tactics of the tea party and the dangerous ideas behind them," he said.
Velvet gloves in debate by California's GOP candidates in governor's
race
Steve Poizner and Meg Whitman skip lightly over
solutions to state's finances.
Steve Poizner waves as Meg Whitman shakes hands with the
moderator before the first GOP gubernatorial candidates' debate in Costa
Mesa.
(Bret
Hartman/For The Times / March 15, 2010)
Republican candidates for governor Meg Whitman and Steve
Poizner met in a generally genteel debate Monday evening that skipped
lightly over detailed solutions to California's grievous fiscal mess in
favor of the familiar arguments that each has made for months as they
drive toward the June 8 primary.
Whitman argued that she would bring an outsider's perspective to
Sacramento and present the sharpest possible contrast to the presumptive
Democratic nominee, former governor and current Atty. Gen. Jerry Brown.
Brown, she said, brought to the race a "record of failure."
"I have met a payroll. I have balanced budgets, I have been on the
receiving end of all kinds of burdensome regulations," she said. "I know
what it's like to run a business in California, and I know how hard it
is."
Poizner, who is trailing Whitman in pre-primary polls, sought again and
again to define her as too liberal for the party's core voters, an
argument he has forwarded more sharply in recent weeks.
"I want to fix the state of California by implementing some bold,
sweeping reforms that include tax cuts across the board, where Meg and I
disagree," he said. "I want to stop illegal immigration by cutting off
taxpayer-funded benefits. . . . Meg doesn't want to go that far.
"We even disagree on abortion. The fact is I want to drive the number of
abortions down . . . stop government funding of abortions. Meg and I
disagree on that."
The debate broke ground not because of its content but for the fact that
it occurred. Sponsored by the New Majority Foundation, a GOP group, it
was the first between the two remaining major candidates and came after
months in which Whitman had declined to take part in such sessions.
A few times, Whitman offered what she called a "fact check" on Poizner,
saying, for example, that his position on immigration is more
restrictive than it once was. She also criticized him for donating
$200,000 to a ballot measure that reduced the proportion of voters who
must approve tax hikes for schools.
But by and large Poizner was the more pointed in drawing a contrast
between the two. He even offered an oblique criticism of Whitman's media
preferences after she recounted an interview she had heard on National
Public Radio.
"Another major difference between Meg and me -- I don't listen to NPR,"
he said, alluding to its reputation as catering to liberals.
Poizner entered the debate hoping to change the momentum in the race,
which has largely been defined by Whitman's spending. By the beginning
of the year, she had put $39 million of her own money into the contest,
setting the record for personal spending in a California race. Poizner
has donated $19 million of his money, but has yet to spend much of it on
ads.
If he expected Monday to change the trajectory, he may be disappointed:
No television station aired the debate in its entirety. It was streamed
live over the Web, but complications prevented some viewers from seeing
the event.
The faceoff took place amid constant concern in Sacramento about the
state's deficit, which totals at least $20 billion over the next 15
months. And it occurred on the same day that state education officials
announced that 22,000 teachers, librarians and counselors received
notices of possible layoffs.
On the deficit, Poizner called for across-the-board spending cuts, while
Whitman declared that cuts tailored to increasing jobs were her
preference. But neither offered a detailed plan. Neither mentioned the
layoffs and both said problems in the public school system are not
caused by lack of funds.
"I actually think we are spending about the right amount of money,"
Whitman said. "I think it is how we spend that money. The overhead and
administration is too big here. Imagine spending 40% on overhead and
administration."
Poizner referred repeatedly to his year of teaching at Mount Pleasant
High School in San Jose, where, he said, he learned about state control
on his first day in the classroom as the roof began leaking. Although
school maintenance is the responsibility of local school districts,
Poizner inexplicably blamed the leaky roof on the state Legislature.
"How come they can't fix a roof at Mount Pleasant High School? Who runs
the place?" Poizner said he thought that day. "Unfortunately the
Legislature does."
Poizner's attempts to define Whitman as too liberal for Republican
primary voters rested largely on two issues that regularly flare in
tough economic times -- taxes and immigration. But she batted back any
suggestion that she would weaken in the face of efforts to cut the
requirement for a two-thirds legislative vote to approve tax increases
and the state budget. Essentially, their disagreement pivoted on whether
wholesale cuts or targeted ones were more appropriate.
Whitman called for eliminating several taxes that she said harm business
growth.
"Meg just said it, she thinks we can't afford across-the-board tax cuts.
In a Republican primary? Wow," Poizner said.
The candidates similarly tussled over whose position was best on
immigration and global warming. In both cases, Poizner tacked rightward
and Whitman allowed for some nuance.
Poizner blamed the state's anti-global-warming measure (AB 32) for
escalating California's jobless rate -- even though much of the law was
not in effect when the unemployment rate took off. He said he would take
the measure off the table until joblessness eased dramatically and for
an extended time. He said he would impose a "dedicated dispute
resolution system" to push through manufacturing projects in one year or
less.
Whitman countered that she wanted a one-year moratorium on all new
regulations, not just AB 32, and said regulations should be streamlined
so approvals could be had in two months.
"Let's stop the madness and streamline the regulations we have," she
said, asserting that California needed to control the market in green
technology.
Poizner has been sharply conservative on the issue of immigration
lately, and Monday was no exception. Drawing a distinction between legal
and illegal immigration, he blamed the latter for crowded emergency
rooms and schools in which teachers are "overwhelmed."
"The fact is we have to stop illegal immigration. The only way to do it
is turn the magnets off," he said, referring to allowing undocumented
children to attend school and receive benefits.
"Steve's done a complete about-face from where he was in 2004," Whitman
responded, referring to his support then for a path to legal status for
undocumented workers.
Karl Rove, architect of George W. Bush's two presidential election wins, says he believes Republicans need to offer more than just opposition to Democrats in the November congressional elections.
Republicans in the House of Representatives and the Senate have been largely in lock-step opposition to President Barack Obama's proposals on healthcare and spending, drawing charges from Democrats that they represent the "party of no."
Rove sees nothing wrong with a strategy of opposition, but thinks Republicans should offer an optimistic vision of the country and alternatives to Democratic proposals, such as their recently proposed moratorium on targeted pet spending projects called "earmarks."
"It's got to be measured and reasonable dissent from Obama, criticism based on the facts and hard evidence and not just hard rhetoric, matched with a positive and optimistic agenda," Rove said.
"They can't be content to surf the wave of discontent with Democrats through the fall," he said.
Rove spoke in an interview as part of the roll-out of his memoir, "Courage and Consequences -- My Life as a Conservative in the Fight."
Popular with conservatives, Rove is a man Democrats love to hate for advocating what they called a "Rovian," take-no-prisoners style of politics.
For all his successes in helping Bush win back-to-back terms, his vision of seeing a more lasting Republican majority collapsed in 2006 when Democrats took advantage of Americans' fatigue with Bush and gained control of Congress and then won the White House in 2008.
Rove, like most Republicans, believes Obama and his Democrats are headed for trouble on healthcare if their sweeping overhaul passes, because many Americans are unhappy with it.
"This is one of those odd pieces of legislation that the longer the public discussion has gone on, the greater the opposition and the more ardent the opposition," he said.
Obama has rejected this kind of thinking, saying the goal of changing the healthcare system is more important than short-term politics.
"You don't govern by the polls; you govern by principles. You don't put your finger to the wind; you put your shoulder to the wheel," Obama said last week at a fund-raiser for Democratic Senator Claire McCaskill.
Rove said Obama could put Republicans in a tight spot on the subject by scaling back his plan and forcing them to vote on banning health insurance companies from discriminating against anyone based on a pre-existing condition.
Other snippets from Rove's interview with Reuters:
* Bush's book on 12 important decisions he made as president is coming out in November, and its roll-out will prompt him to take on a more visible role than he has had since he left Washington in January 2009.
Bush is about to enter a challenging phase when he has his book edited.
* Republicans considering a run to challenge Obama in 2012 are in "the training season" in which they try out themes and find their voices.
* One presidential wannabe, Mitt Romney, will face questions of consistency and how to explain why the healthcare system adopted in Massachusetts when he was governor is different than Obama's proposals.
* Sarah Palin will face greater scrutiny than other potential Republican candidates such as Governor Tim Pawlenty of Minnesota and Governor Mitch Daniels of Indiana, because she gained a high profile as John McCain's running mate in 2008.
* Daniels could emerge as a sleeper candidate for Republicans with his nerdy, low-profile competent style.
* One of the more amusing experiences of Rove's political career came when he was 25 years old and helping Senator John Warner of Virginia with a speech at a time when Warner was married to movie star Elizabeth Taylor.
Rove, arriving at the Warner home for breakfast, was goggle-eyed when Taylor answered the door wearing a revealing nightgown.
"Dang it, that was one weird experience," he said.
Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich led Republicans' 1994 take-over of the House of Representatives with the "Contract with America," a document telling voters what a Republican-led Congress would look like under his leadership.
Now, Gingrich has outlined an updated contract for Newsmax Magazine, along with instructions for today's Republican leadership, titled "How I'd Create a New Contract with America." Before he gets to the meat of his proposal, however, Gingrich notes, "It is clear that the country is increasingly angry with the Obama-Pelosi-Reid team. But it is equally clear that Americans still distrust Republicans almost as much as they fear liberal Democrats."
This document, he says, can help energize Republicans, who should focus on the country, rather than fixating on Democrats, whom he refers to as a "secular socialist coalition seeking to change America radically." Gingrich then gives the history of the first contract, as well as a lengthy how-to guide for Republicans to use his new one.
Finally, Gingrich outlines an extensive list of priorities he'd like to see Republicans tackle:
1. Jobs, jobs, jobs. 2. Balance the budget. 3. An American energy plan. 4. Appropriations reform. 5. Litigation reform. 6. Real health reform. 7. Every child gets ahead. 8. Protect religious liberty. 9. Protect Americans, not the rights of terrorists. 10. Defending America is job one for government.
Although House Minority Leader John Boehner and Republican Whip Eric Cantor have said for months that they will unveil a similar Republican agenda, they have yet to do so. But they will have plenty of time to discuss Gingrich's ideas at the Republican issues conference, set for Baltimore later this week.
Many Republicans credited the 1994 Contract With America with helping the party seize control of the House after 40 years of Democratic dominance. The original document included promises of an independent audit of waste and fraud on Capitol Hill, a trimming of the House bureaucracy and term limits for committee chairmen.
Why the GOP should still be nervous By: Jim VandeHei and James Hohmann January 22, 2010 12:56 AM EST
Republicans are riding high in the wake of Scott Brown’s win, talking up an authentic resurgence for their party and a real chance for reclaiming power.
Don’t bet on it.
Yes, it is indisputable that the GOP has surged, especially in the past several months. Republicans won three major races in tough states — and watched the percentage of Americans who prefer Republicans over Democrats in hypothetical matchups rise to the highest level since 2004.
But it is also indisputable that the rise has little to do with the voters’ view of Republicans writ large — and that the very concerns that got them booted from power persist today.
Voters “have fallen out of love with the Democrats,” said Rep. Adam Putnam (R-Fla.). “They haven’t yet fallen back in love with us.”
POLITICO talked with many of the country’s most experienced political operatives, and each one warned Republicans against irrational exuberance.
Former New York Rep. Susan Molinari: “We have earned the right to crow a little bit. But the lesson we’ve learned from all of these races is that you ... can’t take anything for granted.”
Republican strategist Mary Matalin: “Killer negatives have lost their magic. This requires no attitude. Now we have the players on the field, and we just need to play. We remember how to do it.”
Former Rep. Vin Weber (R-Minn.): “Voters don’t want triumphalism. They still like the president as a person, so they don’t want to see a party celebrating his decline. ... The country wants to see the parties working together.”
Matthew Dowd, who consulted for former President George W. Bush and voted for President Barack Obama: “If any Republicans are running around town celebrating in jubilation, they should remember that in the country’s constant state of change, neither party gets more than a moment.”
Republicans on Capitol Hill hope their moment will come again in November. But the numbers are daunting across the board.
The most important ones: 40, the net seats to win the House, and 10, the net seats to win the Senate, are very difficult — perhaps impossible in the case of the Senate — to achieve. Republicans have picked up 40 or more House seats only seven times since 1912, when the chamber grew to 435 seats. They have picked up 10 or more Senate seats only four times in that period. They have done both three times in the past century.
It seems certain they will pick up some seats, perhaps as many as two dozen or more in the House. That would be in line with the historical average pickup for the opposition party in a president’s first term.
But away from the cameras, Republicans admit that a series of structural problems will make it hard to transform those gains into a win-back-control movement.
Privately, top Republicans tell POLITICO that they are most concerned right now about their bank balance. They are doing well in recruiting candidates but worry they might not have the cash to sufficiently fund them.
Consider the House. The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee has $15 million in the bank right now — nearly four times more than the National Republican Congressional Committee.
Officials say that, while small and large donors are still chipping in, the recession has caused a dip in contributions from middle-level donors — often the small-business types who are feeling the economic pinch.
At the candidate level, if you tally up all the money for everyone running, Democrats have about $60 million more ($175 million to $114 million), according to numbers compiled by the nonpartisan Center for Responsive Politics.
Money is one of the many reasons top GOP officials wish the party had not elected Michael Steele as Republican National Committee chairman. Senior Republicans don’t like his loose lips or his wildly improvisational style. But they could live with that if the RNC were a cash cow. It is not, in part because of Steele’s unwillingness to personally stroke top donors.
The RNC has outraised the Democratic National Committee, but it has less money to spend right now: $9 million vs. the DNC’s $13 million. More troubling to GOP insiders on Capitol Hill is that some major donors say they don’t want to give money to Steele’s RNC.
Republicans are, however, taking some comfort in signals that some of these same contributors are funneling their money to the committees tasked with winning House, Senate and gubernatorial contests.
Democrats continue to get way more money than Republicans from groups outside the official party structure. The new Supreme Court ruling opens the door for corporations to rush back into politics, but it’s too early to tell how aggressively they will underwrite the GOP, given the inherent risk involved in taking on the majority party.
Barring a huge infusion of corporate cash, the Democrats have a decisive advantage. Not insurmountable, but by no means insignificant.
Republicans are publicly boasting that money will pour in after the Massachusetts win. If so, they could have enough to compete in November.
But Republicans still will fight against another set of numbers: the large number of voters who simply don’t like the brand the GOP is selling. The latest Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll found only 30 percent of those surveyed had a favorable view of Republicans. That is 8 percentage points lower than the favorability rating for Democrats. And 22 points lower than Obama’s.
“The American people are against their agenda,” Rep. Lynn Westmoreland (R-Ga.) said of the Democrats. But Westmoreland said the Republicans are “having a hard time” getting their agenda out, too. “We have got to do a better job getting that out.”
Even Republicans aren’t thrilled with Republicans. A CBS News poll showed only 55 percent of Republicans hold a favorable view of their congressional delegation.
And voters also still don’t trust Republicans with big decisions. A recent Washington Post poll found 24 percent trusted congressional Republicans to make the right decisions for the country — 8 points fewer than Democrats and 23 points fewer than Obama.
“Scott Brown didn’t even really run as a Republican,” Dowd notes. “He ran as an outsider.”
Rep. Steve King (R-Iowa) spent three days in Massachusetts before the election, and he said that even Brown supporters told him they wanted to be sure “Republicans get the message: ‘You didn’t do your job well enough when you were there.’” Still, he said, “They do recognize the Democrats have been a lot worse.”
It is a fair point for Republicans to argue that what matters more is the public’s view of the party in power, because voters have a long history of taking out their frustrations on those with the keys. Indeed, one of the most troubling signs for Democrats right now is that the public is losing faith in their ability to lead on virtually every domestic issue on the table.
Republicans are gleefully proclaiming the death of the Obama presidency, or at least his agenda. They claim the public has turned on him, holding him accountable for the sour economy and unemployment. However, the polls don’t back this up.
The WSJ/NBC poll found 65 percent felt Obama inherited the economic mess, while only 17 percent said his policies were “mostly responsible” for the current situation.
That said, just ask Massachusetts Democratic Senate nominee Martha Coakley and former New Jersey Democratic Gov. Jon Corzine who’s taking the brunt of the public’s anger right now.
Of course, it’s possible that the wave of voter discontent is now cresting and will have fizzled somewhat 10 months from now. The economy could begin a rebound.
But even if the current political environment holds, the demographic numbers will remain the biggest obstacle to any longer-term gains for the GOP.
House Minority Whip Eric Cantor said last week he was very concerned about the lack of diversity among GOP candidates and their supporters. The most obvious place for gains in this area would be with Hispanics, the fastest-growing minority group. But a recent Daily Kos poll showed three-quarters of Hispanics hold unfavorable opinions of Republicans. There’s little evidence Republicans are aggressively working to fix their diversity problem: Aside from former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin, each of their potential 2012 presidential candidates is a white male.
Finally, one number Republicans are closely watching in the short term is the number of conservatives who will challenge establishment-backed candidates in key races. If this number grows too big, it will drain resources and highlight the deep divisions that remain inside the GOP.
Jonathan Ernst/Reuters; Susan Walsh/Associated Press
Senators Lindsey Graham, left, and Jim DeMint are both Republicans but are getting some different responses back home.
The county party, which has traditionally been considered moderate, voted by a wide margin to censure Mr. Graham in harsh terms.
Their grievance list was long: it cited the senator for calling opponents of immigration law change “bigots,” holding the Republican Party “hostage” by participating in bipartisan maneuvers, voting for the Wall Street bailout and tarnishing the ideals of freedom.
It even criticized Mr. Graham, a Republican and the state’s senior senator, as having “stated on many occasions that his primary concern is to ‘be relevant.’ ”
The party had no such criticism for the other senator from South Carolina, Jim DeMint.
In fact, Mr. DeMint, a Republican in his first term, is the leader of a movement to pull the party in the opposite direction from Mr. Graham’s conciliatory approach. The political action committee he founded, called the Senate Conservatives Fund, backs only candidates who are rock-solid conservatives, and adherents to his views have led the efforts to censure Mr. Graham.
The two senators say they are friends whose differences are exaggerated by the news media, and Mr. DeMint has not personally criticized Mr. Graham or called for his censure.
But their contrasting strategies have brought home to South Carolina the struggle over the future of the Republican Party and have put them on opposite sides of important Senate primaries in states like Florida, where Mr. DeMint supports a vocal conservative, Marco Rubio, and Mr. Graham supports Gov. Charlie Crist.
In California, Mr. DeMint supports Chuck DeVore, in defiance of the national party leadership and Mr. Graham, who said he would campaign for Carly Fiorina.
Here in South Carolina, Mr. Graham’s vote to confirm Justice Sonia Sotomayor to the Supreme Court, among other positions, has cost him the support of many conservatives, as have his comments that voters want politicians to reach across the aisle and that Republicans need to do a better job of attracting younger voters and minorities.
After the Charleston party vote, Mr. Graham narrowly averted censure in neighboring Berkeley County by promising to meet with party leaders. In the north part of the state, the York County Republican Party stopped short of a censure but made its displeasure with Mr. Graham known by approving a resolution strenuously opposing cap and trade.
“I believe in the Constitution 100 percent — Mr. Graham does not,” Terry Hutchinson, an auto mechanic in Rock Hill, said before attending the York County meeting. “He voted for Sotomayor, that’s the first thing. She is a liberal, she is a racist, and you support her? Wrong, absolutely wrong.”
The voting records of Mr. Graham and Mr. DeMint are actually not that far apart — according to the American Conservative Union, which gives Mr. Graham a lifetime rating of 90 out of 100, he voted with Mr. DeMint on bellwether issues 80 percent of the time in 2008. Mr. DeMint is the only senator the group designates as a “Defender of Liberty,” its highest accolade.
Instead, the two men diverge on their vision of the party’s future. Mr. DeMint, who declined an interview for this article after several requests, has said he would prefer having fewer, but ideologically pure, Republicans in the Senate rather than more Republicans who were ideologically suspect.
Mr. Graham takes the more pragmatic view, countering in an interview that neither he nor Mr. DeMint would be electable in states like Maine or California, but that a single centrist Republican senator from a moderate state could give the party enough votes to block President Obama’s major initiatives.
“If we had one more vote, one more Republican, this health care debate would be over,” Mr. Graham said.
Mr. DeMint, a favorite of the tea party movement, a diffuse grass-roots group that taps into antigovernment sentiments, attracted widespread attention when he referred to health care legislation as Mr. Obama’s Waterloo, while Mr. Graham was one of 12 senators to join a yet-unsuccessful effort at a bipartisan health care compromise.
Mr. Graham has a history of bucking partisan expectations. As a House member, he signed on to Senator John McCain’s presidential bid, giving Mr. McCain a lift in the South Carolina Republican primary in 2000 when many in the party and the state supported George W. Bush. In 2005, he was a member of the bipartisan “Gang of 14,” which preserved the minority party’s right to block presidential appointments by filibuster but also cleared the way for the confirmation of several conservative judges.
Political analysts in the state say it is difficult to tell how much the anger of the right will hurt Mr. Graham, who does not face re-election until 2014.
“A lot of these stories that make it look like Lindsey Graham is on the ropes I don’t think are fully accurate,” said Scott H. Huffmon, an associate professor of political science at Winthrop University in Rock Hill. Though Mr. Graham may be under attack by louder members of the party, Mr. Huffmon said, in general Republicans like him.
His popularity helped him survive a 2007 censure by the Greenville County Republicans for his support of immigration changes. He won the 2008 primary statewide with 67 percent of the vote and the general election by a 15-point margin. Mr. Graham won Charleston County in 2008, while in 2004, Mr. DeMint lost there.
But here, perhaps even more than elsewhere, politics has become much more polarized as conservative anxiety has taken root under Mr. Obama. In a different climate, said John Graham Altman, a former Republican state lawmaker, Mr. Graham’s negotiation with Mr. Kerry, the Democratic presidential nominee in 2004, over the cap-and-trade bill might have been viewed very differently.
“It could have been, ‘Oh, look at Lindsey, he’s pulling one over on Kerry, he’s got the Brahmin by the big toe,’ ” Mr. Altman said.
Still, some two dozen people interviewed around the state said they had only a vague notion, if any, of displeasure with Mr. Graham. John Dorn, a restaurant supplier and a Republican in Charleston, said the party needed more like him.
“He’s probably as close to being a senator who tries to look at things from other angles as we have,” Mr. Dorn said.
Independent voters like those in the tea party movement, are turned off by such “mushy” Republicans, said J. Warren Sloane, the vice chairman of the Charleston party, who wrote the censure resolution.
“Lindsey Graham paints himself as a martyr who is going against what his constituents feel because he knows what’s best for the country,” Mr. Sloane said. “We’re a little bit tired of the martyr shtick.”
Others say that catering to the angry fringe will only keep the party small.
“In all candor, being a Republican who is primarily working in African-American and Hispanic areas, Lindsey Graham makes it easier for me to be a Republican in those demographics,” said Marvin D. Rogers, 33, a staunchly conservative black Republican in Rock Hill.
“I’m not asking anyone to be any less conservative — please don’t,” Mr. Rogers said. “But be more civil in communicating that conservative message. Don’t get on TV talking about ‘The president’s a racist.’ Don’t get on the radio talking about Waterloos.”
GOP needs power player to end 'warlord status,' expert says
Story Highlights
The Republican Party "is sort of in warlord status," John Avlon says
"Vacuum of leadership" biggest problem for the party, GOP strategist says
Independents disillusioned by Obama present an opportunity for GOP, Avlon says
Next step: Go from stopping Obama's agenda to offering solutions, strategist says
updated 9:23 a.m. EDT, Fri October 9, 2009
By Kristi Keck CNN
(CNN) -- The 1994 elections were approaching, and House Republicans were on a mission to take control of their chamber for the first time in nearly 50 years.
A clear message and strong leadership helped the Republicans pick up big wins in the 1994 election.
Buoyed by an electorate skeptical of then-President Clinton after his unsuccessful push for health care reform, Republicans charged forward with what experts say they are lacking now: a clear message and a leader.
With Newt Gingrich at the helm of a legislative agenda called the "Contract with America," Republicans handed Democrats a blistering defeat, taking back control not only of the House, but the Senate, too.
For 10 of the next 12 years, Republicans held the majority in both chambers. By the end of the bruising 2006 and 2008 election cycles, the Republicans found themselves back in the wilderness.
Exit polls from the 2006 election indicated views of President Bush and the war in Iraq were key to the outcome. By the 2008 election, even Republican presidential candidates were trying to distance themselves from Bush.
In the year since the last election, the Grand Old Party has made a handful of attempts to give itself a makeover, but all have stagnated. Now, the fractured party finds itself trying to regroup as the 2010 election cycle nears.
"The party is sort of in warlord status -- where different people are leading different fiefdoms, different warring armies that are frequently at war with each other," said John Avlon, author of books on independent and extremist politics.
abandoning party principles. In the other, moderates are blasting conservatives for drawing partisan lines. And then there's the Tea Party fringe that's attacking both sides -- moderates because they are moderate and conservatives because they are not conservative enough.
The various factions have different ideas for the direction of the party, and they turn to different people to represent the voice of the GOP.
"Where the Republicans are having the biggest problem now is sort of a vacuum of leadership," said Republican strategist Chris Wilson.
Catch phrases, slogans and tag lines can change, Wilson said, "but what it gets down to is leadership, and it is all about who is seen as the leader of the party."
"It's not like you can just change one day the Republican brand from 'a to b' the way that Kentucky Fried Chicken tried to go from 'Finger lickin' good' to 'We do chicken right.' It just doesn't work like that," said Wilson, who has conducted thousands of public opinion surveys for candidates, companies and political groups.
Attempts to revive the Republican brand -- from Rep. Eric Cantor's "National Council for a New America" to Republican Party head Michael Steele's vow to launch an "off the hook," hip-hop infused PR campaign -- all failed to gain much momentum.
The reason, according to Avlon, is that the Republican Party tried to move forward without dealing with the mistakes of the recent past.
"The first step to recovery is admitting you have a problem. There are a lot of folks in the far right who do not want to admit they have a problem," said Avlon, author of "Independent Nation: How Centrists Can Change American Politics" and the upcoming "Attack of the Wingnuts: How the Lunatic Fringe is Hijacking America."
"They need to come to grips with what went wrong when they controlled both the White House and Congress, and why they were so repudiated by the American people in 2006 and 2008, and I don't think they've done that hard work yet," he said.
Some on the far right say the problem is that they weren't conservative enough -- an idea Avlon calls "self-evidently" crazy. History is clear about how parties come out of the wilderness, he said: by reconnecting with the center.
"But as long as the Republican Party is so angrily fixated on playing to its base and dividing to conquer -- they will become not only more ideologically isolated but more regionally isolated and that is the road to irrelevance," he said, adding that what he describes as an "obsessive hunt for heretics" in the GOP must stop.
The perceived lack of tolerance for diversity of opinion is a key obstacle preventing the Republican brand from gaining traction, said John Quelch, a marketing professor at Harvard Business School and co-author of "Greater Good: How Good Marketing Makes for Better Democracy."
"I think part of the problem that the Republicans have is that the base has, in many cases, certain litmus test issues on which they are black and white on their thinking," he said, pointing to abortion and gun rights as examples of issues that are elevated from debates over policy to attacks on a person's morals.
Adding to the Republicans' image problem is President Obama », Quelch said. He's dominated the news cycle with a speech-a-day strategy, leaving Republicans little time on the air.
Republicans have recently found a voice in criticizing Obama for not being able to deliver on a substantial portion of his agenda, but, going into 2010, that could end up helping the Democrats instead, Quelch said. "The fact that there hasn't been any major legislative success actually makes it harder for the opposition to galvanize."
Despite the damaged brand and back-to-back election cycle losses, there are glimmers of hope ahead for Republicans in Congress.
Support for Democrats has been on the decline, and a recent Gallup Poll suggests the parties are nearly tied in the midterm matchups.
But while voters are de-affiliating with Democrats, Avlon said "they are not re-affiliating with the Republicans."
Obama won over independent voters in the last election cycle, but many of those voters -- who are fiscally conservative and socially progressive -- have since been turned off by the administration's unprecedented government spending.
"That should create an opening for Republicans, but to do that they need to recognize that in part they lost their way by losing the mantle of fiscal responsibility, by growing deficits and squandering surpluses," Avlon said.
Going ahead, the GOP needs to moderate its extremes and clarify its message, he said.
"I think what they need to do is focus on what made them the party of Lincoln in the first place. They need to focus on the common ground items, being a party of national unity, national security, fiscal responsibility and individual freedom," he said.
As for Wilson, he's hopeful for the future. "The Republican Party as a whole is at the best point I've seen it in the last decade."
He's also confident Republicans can put forth a clear agenda to get the party back on track and shake the "Party of No" label prescribed by Democrats.
"For fair or for not, the proposals being pushed by the Obama administration have increasingly become very unpopular and so the American people have seen the Republicans being able to stop those unpopular proposals," he said.
The next step, he said, is "to move from stopping what's unpopular to moving to a positive agenda that's going to help people."
Asked how the party balances prevention with progression, Wilson replied, "That's the $64,000 question.
"You just have to work that much harder. I think you have to pivot, bottom-line."
Republicans take aim at Ore. congressman over SUV
By BRAD CAIN, Associated Press Writer Brad Cain, Associated Press WriterThu Oct 8, 7:40 pm ET
SALEM, Ore. – Republican campaign officials took aim on Thursday at an Oregon congressman who has pushed for tougher vehicle emission standards, touting a YouTube video of the environmentally friendly Democrat driving what they called a gas-guzzling SUV in Washington, D.C.
The video, recorded by a GOP staffer assigned to track Rep. David Wu and distributed by the National Republican Congressional Committee, was an early political fusillade against a six-term Democrat the Republicans believe will finally be vulnerable in next year's midterm elections.
NRCC spokeswoman Joanna Burgos acknowledged that Republicans and Democrats alike drive SUVs. But Wu has boasted of his advocacy of green legislation and has urged stricter emission standards, she said.
"What it shows is that David Wu tries to be one person when he's back in Oregon, and a different one when he's in Washington, D.C.," Burgos said.
Wu has been a durable political figure since first getting elected from his Portland-based district in 1998 — Republicans didn't even put a challenger on last year's ballot.
But Wu won't get a free ride in 2010, Burgos said. Rob Cornilles, a sports business consultant and community leader from suburban Tualatin, recently announced his candidacy and will focus on congressional overspending supported by Wu and other Democrats, she said.
Wu, who is married and has two children, bought the black GMC Yukon eight years ago so that it could carry his dog, a couple of strollers and his family, spokeswoman Julia Louise Krahe said. The congressman and his family regularly practice recycling in their household, she added.
"He demonstrates his commitment to the environment in a number of ways, both personal and professional," Krahe said.
Republicans will have their work cut out for them in trying to knock off Wu, who is very popular with constituents, political analyst Jim Moore said. Criticism over his SUV driving habits might be fun way to hit at Wu, but it won't make a difference in the 2010 election, he said.
"He's only had one tough election campaign, and that was his first one," said Moore, who teaches political science at Pacific University in Forest Grove. "Since then he's built good name familiarity in the district."
Following major setbacks in 2008, the national political landscape for Republicans has improved so dramatically in recent months that election analysts say the only remaining question is how deep the Democrats' losses will be in the 2010 congressional midterm races.
President Obama's approval rating has fallen to 51 percent in the Gallup tracking survey. A recent NBC/Wall Street Journal poll showed that voters were nearly evenly divided on which party should control Congress, with Democrats edging Republicans by just three points, down from a seven-point lead in July, and election analysts have moved nearly two dozen Democratic House seats into "competitive" rating columns benefiting the Republican Party.
"The president's standing has weakened; Democrats are on the defensive on the economy, spending and health care; and key midterm voting groups — including seniors and independents — are moving away from the Democrats and toward the GOP," veteran elections analyst Stuart Rothenberg told his newsletter subscribers last week in his latest survey of House races for 2010.
"We've moved a number of races, but it's still early, and we expect many more races to develop that are not now on our chart. Eventually, this should put more Democratic seats at risk," Mr. Rothenberg said.
Longtime elections handicapper Charlie Cook agrees that the national political movement has turned decidedly away from the Democrats at this point in the two-year election cycle.
"As the political environment for Democrats has turned ugly, it is widely assumed the party will sustain losses in next year's midterm elections. The operative question is: How bad will those losses be?" he said in a recent analysis for Congress Daily.
Historically, the party that wins the White House loses House seats in the new president's first midterm elections, a trend that has been broken just twice since the 1930s (under Presidents Franklin D. Roosevelt in 1934 and George W. Bush in 2002). The post-World War II average losses in a president's first term is 16 House seats, but Mr. Cook says "the number of seats now at risk exceeds [the Democrats'] majority."
Democrats hold a 256-177 edge in the House, with two vacancies, meaning Republicans would have to score a net gain of 40 seats to reclaim the majority lost in 2006.
With little more than 13 months remaining before next year's elections, Democrats are hoping the economy will turn around sooner than expected, unemployment will recede more quickly than current projections and the White House will score a major political victory by passing a health care reform bill before the end of the year.
"But they also fear the 13 months might give matters a chance to snowball and get worse. If Democrats go 0-2 in this year's gubernatorial elections in New Jersey and Virginia, that will only dampen party morale more," Mr. Cook warned.
Mr. Rothenberg's analysis of all 435 House seats puts 48 of them in play, 31 held by Democrats and 17 held by Republicans. Since his last race-by-race rating, he has shifted 22 Democratic-held seats into competitive categories from "tossups" to "leaning Republican" — all of them "benefiting Republicans," he said.
As of now, "Republicans could gain anywhere from only a handful of seats to a couple of dozen or more, depending on how things develop over the next year," he said, adding that "the National Republican Congressional Committee's 2006 and 2008 nightmare is over."
David Wasserman, the House elections analyst at the Cook Political Report, said Democrats "have 25 to 30 seats that are truly vulnerable, with another 40 seats where there's a chance of a competitive race. Republicans have between 10 to 15 vulnerable seats."
"If the election were held today, Republicans could pick up 10 to 25 House seats," Mr. Wasserman said.
Meantime, the Democrats' prospects in the Senate appear to have softened, although the real vulnerabilities lie not in 2010, but beyond.
"While the Democrats' majority status next year is not in doubt, their 60-seat majority is in grave danger, and the odds of their maintaining control after the 2012 and 2014 elections are increasingly remote," Mr. Cook wrote in a recent Congress Daily analysis.
With Republicans hit by seven retirements this year, most forecasters saw Democrats picking up a handful of additional seats next year. But Republican prospects have improved in open races in Ohio, Missouri, New Hampshire and Florida, and several incumbent Democrats appear to be running into trouble, including Majority Leader Harry Reid of Nevada, Christopher J. Dodd of Connecticut and Blanche Lincoln of Arkansas.
"Basically, there is a real chance that Democrats won't be able to flip any GOP Senate seats. This is not, repeat not, to say that Democrats can't pick up any Republican seats, but their chances certainly aren't what they used to be," Mr. Cook wrote last week.
Democratic campaign officials acknowledge that their party was badly beaten up by Republicans in the health care battle during the August recess, when protesters opposing Mr. Obama's health care plan packed town-hall meetings and threw Democrats on the defensive.
"To be honest, we needed to be more aggressive in August. We saw Republicans led by extremists in their party mobilize and make a lot of noises, and there is no question that some momentum was lost at this period of time," said New Jersey Sen. Robert Menendez, chairman of the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee.
But Mr. Menendez thinks that, while "the Republicans have adopted a strategy that buys them momentum in the short term, it makes them really vulnerable in the long term. Instead of contributing to the solutions of problems they helped create, they have been the party of no, the party of obstacles and obfuscation."
Sen. candidate likens his campaign to World War II
By Eric Zimmermann - 10/05/09 11:44 AM ET
Connecticut Senate candidate Peter Schiff (R) went a little off-message in a recent interview with the Washington Post, comparing his campaign to World War II and pledging to do the work of ten senators.
Schiff, who has a considerable fortune from investments, told the Post that he's "willing to interrupt" his career for the causes he belives in, comparing himself to a WWII soldier.
"It's not like I want my new career in politics," he said. "But I'm willing to interrupt it the same way that somebody interrupted their career and joined World War II and went off to fight the Nazis. I don't think that I'm that heroic, and I don't think I'm risking as much as a soldier. But it's the same principle."
There's more:
"[M]ost of the other senators spend 90 percent of their time trying to get reelected--raising money, doing what it takes to stay in the Senate, right? I'm not going to spend any of my time on that. So I'll be, like, 10 senators all by myself."
Sounds like all the ingredients for a new campaign slogan: "Peter Schiff: He'd be like 10 Nazi-fighting Senators."
Florida Gov. Charlie Crist said he thinks President Barack Obama could be in for an ousting from office similar to what happened to Democratic President Jimmy Carter after his first term.(PHOTO CREDITS: Chris Welch/CNN)
MACKINAC ISLAND, Michigan (CNN) – Florida Gov. Charlie Crist said he thinks President Barack Obama could be in for an ousting from office similar to what happened to Democratic President Jimmy Carter after his first term.
"I think the people wanted a change," the Florida Republican said, speaking of the election of Obama in November while drawing similarities to events decades earlier.
"They wanted a change back in 1976. You remember? Richard Nixon had been president. That ended. Gerald Ford took over. The people decided they wanted a change. They got one-Jimmy Carter. Four years later, they took care of business-Ronald Reagan."
"It may happen again," Crist went on. "I believe that the people have seen that they wanted a change but not this much. Not this kind, and not this way. America is awake and we're coming back."
Crist, who's now running for U.S. Senate, said Republicans feel a winning streak coming on for the next few years, "so bad they can taste it," he said. "Especially after the seven or eight or nine months that we've had of this new administration."
Crist was the keynote speaker Friday night at the biennial Mackinac Republican Leadership Conference on Mackinac Island, Michigan.
House Republican Whip Eric Cantor delivered an address himself Saturday morning. Cantor touched on the healthcare debate, calling some of the options being discussed in Washington of late "ill-defined," adding they would be "a gamble," according to remarks sent out by Cantor's campaign committee.
The Mackinac conference is held every other year-non-election years-and brings together politicians and candidates from across the state of Michigan, as well as national Republican figures making waves.
Also scheduled to speak this year is Minnesota Gov. Tim Pawlenty and former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney. Both men have been rumored to be considering a presidential run in 2012.
Two years ago, this conference brought together the likes of previous presidential hopefuls. John McCain, Mitt Romney, Sam Brownback, Duncan Hunter, Mike Huckabee, Ron Paul, Rudy Giuliani, and Fred Thompson all attended in 2007.
WASHINGTON — Despite being in the minority in Congress, Republican campaign committees outraised Democrats by $1.7 million in August as they have aggressively collected political cash amid the rancorous debate over health care.
Republicans also held an edge over Democrats in the amount of money available, when counting debts, as both parties set the stage for the 2010 elections, in which more than three dozen competitive House and Senate seats are at stake.
The GOP spike is a departure. In each of the past four years, the party in power — whether Democrat or Republican — raised more than the minority's fundraising committees in August, a USA TODAY review of campaign records shows.
"Republicans have been able to tap into some of the anger against Democrats in power and translate that into fundraising," said Nathan Gonzales of The Rothenberg Political Report. "There are a lot of Republicans who wish the election were this November, not November 2010, because they feel like the momentum is on their side now."
In the Senate, where Republicans are far outnumbered, their fundraising committee collected $3.1 million last month, compared to $2.2 million by the Democratic committee. It was the second month in a row that the Senate GOP committee outperformed Democrats — bringing its fundraising total for the year to $26.5 million, just $1 million less than the Democrats.
Brian Walsh, spokesman for the National Republican Senatorial Committee, said the committee has attracted more than 70,000 first-time donors this year as voters grew alarmed by President Obama's policies. "There are a lot of independents who may have voted for Obama who are now saying, 'This type of big government spending is not what we signed up for,' " he said.
The Republican National Committee (RNC) also had a fundraising bump in August, bringing in $1 million more than the Democratic National Committee. Only the House Democratic committee outraised the Republicans in August — by $200,000.
For the year, the three GOP committees have $28.3 million in available funds after expenses and debts — about $8 million more than the Democrats.
RNC spokeswoman Gail Gitcho said the health-care debate that played out in town-hall meetings in August boosted fundraising. In the first three weeks in August, for example, the party averaged 2,000 donations a day from new donors, she said.
Democrats say they are on track for a strong showing in 2010. "We continue to raise the resources we need to accomplish our goals," Democratic National Committee spokesman Hari Sevugan said. Eric Schultz, a spokesman for the Senate Democratic committee, said his group "will have more than enough funds to be competitive."
Jennifer Duffy, who follows Senate races for The Cook Political Report, said the Republican surge is not a surprise. GOP "apathy turned pretty quickly into activism" after the White House and congressional Democrats moved swiftly this year to pass an economic rescue plan and work on health care and climate change legislation, she said.
"If the administration and Democrats in Congress were doing nothing, it might be harder to raise money," Duffy said. "They have certainly given Republicans something to work with."
She said GOP activists are focused on winning enough Senate seats to deprive Democrats of the 60 votes needed to avoid GOP filibusters of controversial measures.
Political cash
How much the three political action committees for each party have raised and how much they have left as of Aug. 31 (in millions):
Category
Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee
Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee
Democratic National Committee
Total Democrats
August receipts
$2.2 million
$3.3 million
$6.9 million
$12.4 million
2009 receipts
$27.5 million
$37.4 million
$53.6 million
$118.5 million
Cash on hand, minus debt
$4 million
$6 million
$10 million
$20 million
Category
National Republican Senatorial Committee
National Republican Congressional Committee
Republican National Committee
Total Republicans
August receipts
$3.1 million
$3.1 million
$7.9 million
$14.1 million
2009 receipts
$26.5 million
$23.8 million
$59.9 million
$110.2 million
Cash on hand, minus debt
$5.1 million
$2.2 million
21 million
$28.3 million
Source: Federal Election Commission
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